Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.053934 0.063229 0.073601 0.086028 0.100509 0.116849 0.136684
2025-08-24 0.039236 0.051222 0.066048 0.085711 0.111093 0.142742 0.185208
2025-08-31 0.030386 0.043101 0.060121 0.084529 0.118596 0.164437 0.230809
2025-09-07 0.025452 0.038652 0.057509 0.086334 0.129223 0.190628 0.285211
2025-09-14 0.021211 0.034184 0.053793 0.085477 0.135302 0.210562 0.332842
2025-09-21 0.017712 0.030110 0.049824 0.083302 0.138617 0.226258 0.375589
2025-09-28 0.014886 0.026576 0.046045 0.080647 0.140458 0.239441 0.415555
2025-10-05 0.013399 0.025020 0.045212 0.082620 0.150001 0.266020 0.480733
2025-10-12 0.011956 0.023286 0.043777 0.083246 0.157137 0.289173 0.542687
2025-10-19 0.010691 0.021671 0.042289 0.083495 0.163495 0.311525 0.605754
2025-10-26 0.009742 0.020508 0.041459 0.084811 0.171912 0.338472 0.680485
2025-11-02 0.009063 0.019776 0.041339 0.087452 0.183157 0.371943 0.771693
2025-11-09 0.007877 0.017833 0.038578 0.084465 0.182916 0.383378 0.821381
2025-11-16 0.007093 0.016636 0.037196 0.084171 0.188220 0.406624 0.898380
2025-11-23 0.006339 0.015390 0.035529 0.083013 0.191484 0.425966 0.969478
2025-11-30 0.005898 0.014795 0.035206 0.084787 0.201402 0.460593 1.078073
2025-12-07 0.005327 0.013800 0.033834 0.083946 0.205236 0.482270 1.160236
2025-12-14 0.004745 0.012686 0.032026 0.081809 0.205730 0.496415 1.226698
2025-12-21 0.004207 0.011601 0.030135 0.079200 0.204723 0.506907 1.285733
2025-12-28 0.003968 0.011265 0.030060 0.081139 0.215210 0.545918 1.418891
2026-01-04 0.003686 0.010768 0.029502 0.081754 0.222408 0.577743 1.538022
2026-01-11 0.003414 0.010257 0.028839 0.081999 0.228668 0.607952 1.656726
2026-01-18 0.003210 0.009911 0.028575 0.083291 0.237897 0.646814 1.802817